{"id":3188,"date":"2026-03-02T13:24:42","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T13:24:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/?p=3188"},"modified":"2026-03-02T13:24:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T13:24:42","slug":"six-gamblers-made-millions-off-of-us-airstrikes-on-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/?p=3188","title":{"rendered":"Six gamblers made millions off of US airstrikes on Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-25\">\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"request-WEB:1589d693-46c8-47b6-8ff5-5d9af03ff8fd-7\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-16\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"68df8a8f-85fd-4b4f-90b8-c10884211b05\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-2\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"203\">After U.S. and Israeli strikes killed Iran\u2019s Supreme Leader, <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Ayatollah Ali Khamenei<\/span><\/span>, hundreds of millions of dollars poured into prediction markets as people bet on what would happen next.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"205\" data-end=\"636\">According to <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Reuters<\/span><\/span>, about $529 million was traded on <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Polymarket<\/span><\/span> over when the U.S. and Israel would strike Iran, and $150 million was wagered on whether Khamenei would be removed by the end of March. Six newly created accounts reportedly made $1.2 million betting the attack would occur on Feb. 28 \u2014 the day it happened \u2014 raising concerns about possible insider knowledge.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"638\" data-end=\"735\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Kalshi<\/span><\/span> also saw tens of millions in bets on regime change in Iran.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"737\" data-end=\"1047\">Lawmakers are now pushing back. Senator <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Chris Murphy<\/span><\/span> called it \u201cinsane this is legal\u201d and plans legislation to ban such betting. Representative <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Mike Levin<\/span><\/span> warned prediction markets must not become tools for profiting off advance knowledge of military action.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1049\" data-end=\"1258\">Kalshi CEO <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Tarek Mansour<\/span><\/span> defended his company, saying it bars contracts directly tied to death and adjusted payouts related to Khamenei\u2019s killing. Polymarket has not publicly commented.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1260\" data-end=\"1416\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">The controversy highlights the legal gray area surrounding online prediction markets \u2014 and growing concerns about ethics and insider trading during wartime.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"z-0 flex min-h-[46px] justify-start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mt-3 w-full empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"text-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pointer-events-none h-px w-px absolute bottom-0\" aria-hidden=\"true\" data-edge=\"true\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>After U.S. and Israeli strikes killed Iran\u2019s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, hundreds of millions of dollars poured into prediction markets as people bet on <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/?p=3188\" title=\"Six gamblers made millions off of US airstrikes on Iran\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3189,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3188"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3190,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188\/revisions\/3190"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3189"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/viralspotlight26.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}